PROFILE:

My nickname is poglavica and I'm 40 years old from Zadar, Croatia. I'll provide you with detailed coverage of all betting events including teams/players from Croatia. It will be my pleasure to serve you with interesting facts and statistics and to share my 10 years of betting experience with you.

Just to let you know, I'm a Hajduk Split supporter since I can walk, and active member of the Torcida, the oldest football firm in Europe (established: 1950). For your and my own sake I will keep previews and advises on Hajduk Split on an absolute minimum.

Wish you all good luck!

Contact:

poglavica.bet@gmail.com

Notes:

From August 2012 onwards I'll launch a private mailing list with picks from sports/leagues I'm specialized in. When time comes, I will open a new blog with a new name to separate the two blogs, as I'm keeping record of my placed bets within this blog here, including testing some strategies. A information will be send out as soon the new blog will be ready.

For serious job offers in the betting industry or investing opportunities, do not hesitate to contact me under the above contact address.

Betting strategy:

From April 2012 onwards, I switched my focus back to the main leagues which I follow closely. See the list below. Thereby, the amount of picks placed within a month will be reduced. That should have the effect of a increased yield, reducing the amount of picks in the meantime to a tolerable limit. Despite that, there will be no blog reset.

Leagues/Sports:

Football:

1) Croatia; 1.HNL
2) England; Premier League, Championship and League One
3) Germany; Bundesliga I and Bundesliga II
4) Spain; Primera Division
5) Italy; Serie A, Serie B
6) under/over bets from different leagues
7) European football competitions, Romania and Scotland

Basketball:

1) NBA
2) Euroleague
3) ABA league
4) Croatia; A1 league
5) Spain; ACB league
6) Germany; BBL
7) international competitions and other leagues with value in it

Sportsbooks:

A last note about bookmakers I will use here and within the mailing list. The following exclusive sportsbooks will be used (ordered by amount of picks at the given bookmaker):

Football:

(1) Pinnacle | (2) 188bet | (3) 12bet | (4) Bet365 | (5) 10bet
(6) # Ladbrokes | (7) # William Hill | (8) * Expect

# = English lower leagues - low limits
* = early odds if nowhere else available - low limits

Basketball:

(1) Pinnacle | (2) 5dimes | (3) 188bet | (4) Bet365
(5) # Stan James |(6) # William Hill | (6) # Expect

# = early and alternative lines/odds - low limits

No other bookmakers will be used at all, even if the odds are better and bigger. That has a simple but important reason. The above sportsbooks doesn't limit winning bettors offering high limit bets (if not otherwise stated). I decided to make my first choice sportsbooks also transparent here at blogabet. As soon as they become available to choose from at blogabet, I will add SBOBET and IBCBET to the above lists.

« Last edited: May 16, 2012, 14:56:08 by poglavica »

OVER 190.0 POINTS AT ODDS 1.91

3-0 Spurs, but I'm certain you know that already. So, Spurs, let's sweep those Clippers and resting legs until the Sonics finish the Lakers in game 5.

What need the Clipper to win at least one game (this) in this series? Three things: 1) a miracle, 2) the Spurs get stuck in L.A. down town and be late to kickoff and 3) they simply need more than 100 points to have at least 20% of chances to win a game against these Spurs. That said, I don't expect that L.A. remains once again at measly 8 points in one-quarter like they did in game 3 in the third and with a total of just 33 points in halftime 2. The Spurs are everything else than a hard-defending team, they usually just get more points on the board as their opponents do. So simple is that beautiful game called Basketball :-). Also take note that the Spurs went over 23-12 on the road this season. With the Spurs scoring 103 points in average, we need "lousy" 88 points from the Clippers. Considering they nailed just 33 in the 2nd half of game 3 scoring a total of 86 points, this task should be achievable also for these Clippers.

Take note that this point line is the lowest posted in this series so far. So, dear Clippers, may you rest in peace, but at least give your fans a good show tonight and score over 90 points as it will be your last appearance this season ... My crystal ball says 93-102.

Medium stakes 6/10 on over 190.0 points.
Good luck!

« Last edited: May 20, 2012, 13:15:49 by poglavica »

Discuss in forum (5 entries)

INDIANA PACERS TO WIN AH (+1.50) AT ODDS 1.97

Are the odds makers actually watching those NBA games? I guess not, otherwise the Pacers wouldn't be the underdog in game 4. Well, let's analyze this.

Indiana leads the series 2-1 and could make a big step to eliminate the favored Heat from the Eastern play-off picture. It's nothing new that home court advantage usually favors the home side, in any sport not just in the NBA. Like most teams, the Pacers shoot much better at home than on the road. An impressive prove of such a thessis can be found right under nba.com within the game 3 recap. Indiana shoot 57% from behind the arc and nailed 87% free-throws. Also take note that 8 players of Indiana are among the top 10 within the player efficiency rating of the NBA, just behind Wade and Jamie boy from the Heat. To sum up. If the Pacers continue to move that ball as efficiently as they have done so far in this series, they'll remain once again out of range for Miami.

Miami, Florida, home of Miami Vice and other big names. Let's put those names and great reputation aside while pointing out some facts about those Heat and their current physical and mental condition. The first of a ton of questions surrounding Miami. Wade. He shot less than 20% from distance during this series and even less than 30% outside the paint. In game 3, he scored measly 5 points! To call him a frustrated star would be an massive understatement. The boiling point of that frustration was within a time-out in the 3rd quarter of game 3, when Dwyade thought he had to yell on Eric Spolstra. How weird is that? If I would be Spolstra (but I'm not) I would suspend him for this game, no ifs, no buts, no maybe's. Move your ass between the other fans in the arena and stay away from me ... Next question. How want the Heat compensate Bosh's absence in the offense? Game 3 proved impressively how. The Heat scored just 75 points. Next question please. Can Chalmers repeat another "game of his life" like he did in game 3 when he scored a carrier high of 25 points? No way, if you ask me, but who am I to guess ... I admit, this is a do-or-die game for the Heat, and Wade can only shot better than he did in game 3, but will that be enough to beat those Pacers? I "STILL" have my doubts.

You can call me idiot, moron, but as blasphemous as it might seem, with all the aformentioned facts I just don't see those banged-up Heat come out tonight and beat the Pacers in middle of Indianapolis.

Give me those Pacers, including the 1.5 points even if I think that they don't really need those points, at least not if everything continues like before in this series.

Medium stakes 6/10 on Indiana Pacers to win AH (+1.50).

Good luck!